End of day, 14 Oct 2026
The Nifty 50 fell 0.4%; small caps fell 0.0%
It is 13.3% below its 52-week high and down 12.6% this year. Seven of 19 broad indices and eight of 23 sectors are above their 200-day averages.
Nifty 50−9.0%
Midcap 150+1.7%
Smallcap 250+6.0%
Microcap 250+12.9%
Below its highest point so far in the year
Today
The lines under each figure: its last three months. Indices are total return with dividends; the rupee's line rises when the rupee strengthens.
Breadth 14 Oct
861 rose616 fell
- 52-week highs, lows
- 31 / 14
- Above 200-day average
- 51% +1.1 pts
- Above 50-day average
- 33% +3.3 pts
Of 1,479 liquid NSE stocks.
Flows 14 Oct
- Domestic institutions
- +₹2,670 cr
- Foreign investors, NSDL
- −₹1,436 cr
By investor type on 12 Oct, the latest full day:
- Mutual funds
- +₹1,747 cr
- Individuals
- +₹871 cr
- Foreign investors
- +₹545 cr
Biggest moves 14 Oct
- SSRETAIL+10.9%
- CHENNPETRO+5.9%
- ADANIENSOL+5.2%
- ADANIPOWER+4.9%
- BHEL+4.9%
- MEESHO−5.1%
- SHRIRAMFIN−3.8%
- KANOHAR−3.6%
- CHOLAFIN−3.6%
- WELCORP−3.5%
Among the 100 most-traded NSE stocks.
Sectors today 7 of 23 rose
How the main indices have moved
Total return with dividends, from the start of the window to 14 Oct 2026. NSE Indices; returns only.
Coming up
Wed, 14 Oct
- TCSInterim dividend of ₹12 a share, ex-date
- VEDLInterim dividend of ₹5 a share, ex-date
- Fusion CX LimitedIPO opens, closes 16 Oct
- Ravita Engineering Services LimitedSME IPO opens, closes 16 Oct
- WPI inflationFor Sep 2026
- BHELResults
- CANBKResults, period ended Sep 2026
- GROWWResults, period ended Sep 2026
- ICICIGIResults, dividend, period ended Sep 2026
Thu, 15 Oct
- Bonfiglioli Transmissions LimitedIPO opens, closes 19 Oct
- HD Fire Protect LimitedIPO closes
- Ravita Engineering Services LimitedSME IPO closes
- Sahajanand Medical Technologies LimitedIPO opens, closes 19 Oct
- Tonbo Imaging India LimitedIPO opens, closes 19 Oct
- Vaibhav Vyapaar LimitedSME IPO closes
- Zetwerk Manufacturing Businesses LimitedIPO opens, closes 19 Oct
- Unemployment (PLFS)For Sep 2026 (expected)
- ANGELONEResults, period ended Sep 2026
- HDFCAMCResults, period ended Sep 2026
- HDFCLIFEResults, fund raising, period ended Sep 2026
- IIFLResults
- JIOFINResults, period ended Sep 2026
- LTFResults, period ended Sep 2026
- NESTLEINDResults
- PERSISTENTResults, period ended Sep 2026
- POLYCABResults, period ended Sep 2026
- TECHMResults, dividend, bonus issue, period ended Sep 2026
- WIPROResults, period ended Sep 2026
Fri, 16 Oct
- HCLTECHInterim dividend of ₹12 a share, ex-date
- DLFResults, period ended Sep 2026
- FEDERALBNKResults, period ended Sep 2026
- HSCLResults, period ended Sep 2026
- LTMResults, dividend, period ended Sep 2026
- PNBResults, period ended Sep 2026
Sat, 17 Oct
- AXISBANKResults, period ended Sep 2026
- HDFCBANKResults
- ICICIBANKResults
- YESBANKResults, period ended Sep 2026
Mon, 19 Oct
- BAJFINANCEResults, period ended Sep 2026
- HINDZINCResults, period ended Sep 2026
- ULTRACEMCOResults, period ended Sep 2026
- UNIONBANKResults, period ended Sep 2026
Wed, 21 Oct
- ADANIGREENResults, period ended Sep 2026
- ETERNALResults, period ended Sep 2026
- INDHOTELResults, period ended Sep 2026
Thu, 22 Oct
- ANGELONEInterim dividend, ex-date
- ADANIENSOLResults, period ended Sep 2026
- CHENNPETROResults, period ended Sep 2026
- HINDPETROResults, period ended Sep 2026
- SWIGGYResults, period ended Sep 2026
Fri, 23 Oct
- LTMDividend, ex-date
- ADANIPOWERResults, period ended Sep 2026
- BPCLResults, period ended Sep 2026
- COFORGEResults, period ended Sep 2026
- DRREDDYResults, period ended Sep 2026
- GODREJPROPResults, period ended Sep 2026
- INDUSINDBKResults
- INFYResults, dividend, period ended Sep 2026
- JSWSTEELResults, period ended Sep 2026
- TMCVResults, period ended Sep 2026
- TORNTPHARMResults
Sat, 24 Oct
- AUBANKResults, period ended Sep 2026
- IDFCFIRSTBResults, period ended Sep 2026
- KOTAKBANKResults, period ended Sep 2026
Mon, 26 Oct
- SONACOMSResults, period ended Sep 2026
Tue, 27 Oct
- BAJAJ-AUTOResults, period ended Sep 2026
- CIPLAResults, period ended Sep 2026
- INDUSTOWERResults, period ended Sep 2026
- LTResults, period ended Sep 2026
- MARUTIResults, period ended Sep 2026
- RADICOResults, period ended Sep 2026
Wed, 28 Oct
- Industrial productionFor Sep 2026 (expected)
- Services productionFor Aug 2026 (expected)
- ADANIENTResults, period ended Sep 2026
- ADANIPORTSResults, period ended Sep 2026
- ANANTRAJResults, period ended Sep 2026
- CHOLAFINResults, period ended Sep 2026
- HEROMOTOCOResults, period ended Sep 2026
- HINDUNILVRResults, dividend, period ended Sep 2026
- PIDILITINDResults, period ended Sep 2026
Results dates and corporate actions for the 200 most-traded NSE stocks (stocks.events), as announced; companies can move them. IPOs: NSE. RBI: the MPC's schedule. Data releases: MoSPI's usual release dates, which holidays can shift. Every company, 90 days ahead, with expiries and holidays.
How did the broad market do?
Five of these 10 indices are in an uptrend by the 10-month rule at the end of Sept 2026. Over a year the best was the Nifty Microcap 250 (+12.9%) and the weakest the Nifty 50 (−9.0%).
| Index | 52 weeks | 1D | 1W | 1M | 3M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | Off high | Trend | Momentum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | −0.4% | +0.1% | −3.3% | −5.7% | −12.6% | −9.0% | +5.9% | +5.5% | −13.3% | Downsince Jan ’26 | −1%19/19 | |
| Nifty Next 50 | +0.1% | −0.5% | −4.2% | −3.6% | +0.3% | +2.1% | +16.0% | +10.1% | −7.6% | Downsince Oct ’26 | +10%11/19 | |
| Nifty 100 | −0.3% | 0.0% | −3.5% | −5.3% | −10.4% | −7.1% | +7.5% | +6.1% | −11.2% | Downsince Sep ’26 | +1%18/19 | |
| Nifty 500 | −0.2% | −0.1% | −3.6% | −4.8% | −6.9% | −4.1% | +9.3% | +8.0% | −7.8% | Downsince Sep ’26 | +4%15/19 | |
| Nifty Midcap 150 | 0.0% | −0.1% | −4.5% | −5.2% | −1.5% | +1.7% | +13.6% | +13.3% | −7.3% | Downsince Sep ’26 | +13%6/19 | |
| Nifty Smallcap 250 | 0.0% | −0.5% | −2.7% | −0.5% | +7.4% | +6.0% | +13.5% | +13.2% | −3.7% | Upsince Apr ’26 | +11%10/19 | |
| Nifty Microcap 250 | +0.7% | −0.8% | −2.5% | +3.0% | +15.7% | +12.9% | +16.8% | +20.0% | −3.0% | Upsince Apr ’26 | +16%3/19 | |
| Nifty LargeMidcap 250 | −0.2% | −0.1% | −4.0% | −5.2% | −6.0% | −2.8% | +10.6% | +9.8% | −7.6% | Downsince Sep ’26 | +7%13/19 | |
| Nifty MidSmallcap 400 | 0.0% | −0.2% | −3.9% | −3.6% | +1.4% | +3.1% | +13.5% | +13.3% | −5.9% | Downsince Oct ’26 | +12%8/19 | |
| Nifty500 LargeMidSmall Equal-Cap Weighted | −0.1% | −0.2% | −3.6% | −3.7% | −1.6% | +0.2% | +11.7% | +11.0% | −5.8% | Downsince Oct ’26 | +8%12/19 |
All 125 NSE indices, with risk and filters · What the trend and momentum rules say
Equity, debt, gold and the world, and simple mixes of them
What each asset class returned to an investor in rupees, then what plain mixes of Indian equity, G-secs and gold earned. These simple mixes are the fairer first look. The portfolio lab ranks all 141 portfolios, but its top places go to factor indices whose early years are NSE's back-tests, worked out before the index existed (5 of the top 5).
Asset classes, in rupees
| Asset | Class | 1M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | Below peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Large caps (Nifty 50) | Indian equity | −3.3% | −12.6% | −9.0% | +5.9% | +5.5% | −13% |
| Mid caps (Midcap 150) | Indian equity | −4.5% | −1.5% | +1.7% | +13.6% | +13.3% | −7% |
| Small caps (Smallcap 250) | Indian equity | −2.7% | +7.4% | +6.0% | +13.5% | +13.2% | −4% |
| G-sec, 5-year | Indian debt | −1.4% | +2.3% | +2.9% | +7.1% | +5.9% | −2% |
| Cash (91-day T-bill) | Indian debt | +0.5% | +4.3% | +5.5% | +6.2% | +6.0% | 0% |
| Gold (domestic) | Commodities | −2.9% | +9.9% | +17.1% | +36.3% | +25.2% | −16% |
| Silver | Commodities | −6.0% | −11.7% | +25.6% | +45.4% | +26.6% | −48% |
| Broad commodities | Commodities | +0.5% | +68.3% | +73.2% | +23.5% | +21.4% | −2% |
| US large caps (S&P 500) | Global | +1.8% | +22.0% | +27.5% | +28.9% | +19.4% | −2% |
| Developed markets ex-US | Global | −3.3% | +16.1% | +23.7% | +23.8% | +14.3% | −5% |
| Emerging markets | Global | −3.8% | +27.7% | +34.0% | +28.4% | +12.8% | −7% |
| US Treasuries, 7-10 years | Global | −1.7% | +1.6% | +3.0% | +7.8% | +2.8% | −5% |
Total returns. Indian equity: NSE total-return indices. G-sec: NSE 5-year benchmark G-sec index. Gold: domestic price including import duty. Silver, commodities and the overseas rows: issuer NAVs of US-listed ETFs (SLV, GSG, IVV, EFA, EEM, IEF) converted to rupees at ECB reference rates, so they include the rupee's move.
Simple portfolios
Mixes of the same Indian assets, rebalanced once a year, after fund costs. Since 2005, 60/40 kept 11.4% a year after tax with a worst fall of −36%, against 12.6% and −64% for all equity.
| Portfolio | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Since 2005, after tax | Worst fall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All equityNifty 500 | −6.7% | −4.8% | +9.1% | +7.8% | +12.5% | 12.6% | −64% |
| 70/30Nifty 500, G-sec | −4.0% | −2.5% | +8.6% | +7.2% | +10.9% | 11.9% | −43% |
| 60/40Nifty 500, G-sec | −3.1% | −1.8% | +8.4% | +7.0% | +10.4% | 11.4% | −36% |
| 50/50Nifty 500, G-sec | −2.2% | −1.0% | +8.1% | +6.8% | +9.8% | 10.8% | −30% |
| 60/20/20Nifty 500, G-sec, gold | −2.1% | +2.3% | +14.4% | +11.1% | +12.6% | 13.0% | −36% |
| Equal thirdsNifty 500, G-sec, gold | +1.0% | +7.0% | +17.8% | +13.1% | +12.5% | 12.3% | −19% |
| 60/40 with a trend ruleequity to cash below its 10-month average | −8.6% | −7.3% | +5.4% | +3.6% | +7.3% | 9.7% | −21% |
| GTAAeach asset held only above its 10-month average | −3.8% | +0.9% | +13.9% | +9.5% | +9.5% | 9.8% | −18% |
| Dual momentumthe stronger of equity and gold, if it beats cash | +7.9% | +21.1% | +30.6% | +16.3% | +15.6% | 11.9% | −45% |
YTD to 10Y: before tax, from the lab's weekly curves to 2026-10-14. "Since 2005, after tax" is for a 30% slab taxpayer selling at the end; worst fall is the deepest peak-to-trough over the whole window. The trend rules switch on month-end closes. These are historical tests, not recommendations.
Commodities, daily
| Commodity | 52 weeks | 1D | 1W | 1M | YTD | 1Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precious metals, MCX, in rupees | ||||||
| Silver | −1.3% | −1.4% | −5.1% | −5.4% | +52.2% | |
| Gold | −1.3% | +0.2% | −2.1% | +10.4% | +23.2% | |
| Base metals, MCX, in rupees | ||||||
| Copper | −0.2% | +1.0% | +3.3% | +10.8% | +47.0% | |
| Zinc | −0.4% | +1.7% | +0.4% | +36.7% | +44.0% | |
| Aluminium | −1.1% | −2.0% | −4.8% | +11.7% | +26.8% | |
| Nickel | −0.4% | −1.3% | −4.8% | −5.2% | +17.1% | |
| Lead | −0.5% | +0.2% | −1.1% | +6.3% | +6.1% | |
| Energy, MCX, in rupees | ||||||
| Electricity | −1.4% | +0.8% | −0.9% | +60.6% | +126.3% | |
| Crude oil | +1.1% | +3.6% | −5.7% | +72.3% | +71.2% | |
| Natural gas | −3.7% | +2.4% | +12.1% | −10.4% | +9.7% | |
| Agriculture, MCX, in rupees | ||||||
| Mentha oil | +1.9% | −0.4% | +8.8% | +30.0% | +40.2% | |
| Cardamom | −0.7% | 0.0% | −1.0% | +25.1% | +30.7% | |
| Global energy, in dollars | ||||||
| Brent crude | −0.1% | +10.1% | +22.7% | +104.5% | +87.0% | |
| WTI crude | +0.1% | +0.1% | +3.8% | +68.1% | +54.0% | |
| US natural gas (Henry Hub) | +2.4% | −4.7% | +3.8% | −24.3% | −8.7% | |
MCX futures to 12 Oct 2026 (captured 13 Oct 2026; the capture is manual and can lag). 1D compares the most-traded contract with its own previous close; longer periods compare the most-active contract's price now and then, as MCX prices are usually quoted. Brent, WTI and Henry Hub to 6 Oct 2026: EIA via FRED. Returns only.
Which asset won each year
In the 11 full years from 2015 to 2025, Indian small caps came first 4 times, gold 4 and US stocks 3. Large caps topped the table in no year.
- EM+28
- US+22
- Gold+10
- Small+7
- Cash+4
- G-sec+2
- Mid−2
- Large−13
- Gold+76
- EM+40
- US+24
- Large+12
- G-sec+8
- Mid+6
- Cash+6
- Small−5
- US+29
- Small+27
- Mid+24
- Gold+20
- Large+10
- EM+10
- G-sec+8
- Cash+7
- Small+49
- Mid+45
- US+27
- Large+21
- Gold+16
- EM+10
- G-sec+8
- Cash+7
- Gold+14
- Large+6
- Cash+5
- Mid+4
- G-sec+2
- Small−3
- US−9
- EM−12
- Small+63
- Mid+48
- US+31
- Large+26
- Cash+3
- G-sec+3
- EM−2
- Gold−4
- Gold+28
- Small+26
- Mid+26
- US+21
- EM+20
- Large+16
- G-sec+12
- Cash+4
- US+35
- Gold+23
- EM+21
- Large+13
- G-sec+11
- Cash+6
- Mid+1
- Small−7
- Gold+8
- G-sec+7
- Cash+7
- Large+5
- US+4
- EM−7
- Mid−13
- Small−26
- Small+58
- Mid+56
- Large+30
- EM+28
- US+15
- Cash+6
- G-sec+5
- Gold+5
- US+15
- EM+13
- G-sec+12
- Gold+11
- Cash+7
- Mid+7
- Large+4
- Small+1
- Small+11
- Mid+10
- G-sec+9
- Cash+8
- US+6
- Large−3
- Gold−7
- EM−11
- Indian large caps (Nifty 50)
- Indian mid caps (Midcap 150)
- Indian small caps (Smallcap 250)
- US large caps (S&P 500, in rupees)
- Emerging markets (in rupees)
- Gold (domestic, rupees)
- Indian G-sec, 5-year
- Cash (91-day T-bill)
Calendar-year total returns in rupees, %. Indian equities: NSE total-return indices. US and emerging markets: issuer NAVs of US-listed ETFs (IVV, EEM) converted at ECB reference rates. Gold, G-sec and cash as in the portfolio lab.
What the Tipsheet models hold
Each model is a rule I wrote down before seeing its result and now track in public. Across 48 of them the average share in equity is 34%; ten are fully in equity and 15 hold none. Each is graded against a benchmark that holds the same assets in fixed shares, and none of the 44 has beaten its benchmark by more than luck would explain; that is why a plain benchmark sits on the board too.
Holdings as of 14 Oct 2026: each rule's target at its last decision. The trend models size each market by its trend score each week, so they show how much is invested. The bar is the share in equity, Indian and foreign. Monthly rules decide on the last session of each month. These are rules tracked in public, not advice.
Every model, its record and how it is graded · The Tipsheet indices · What's new on the site
The Tipsheet indices today
The same rules as index levels, the way an index provider publishes them: total return, before any fund cost or tax, so they compare directly with NSE's indices. Each is a rule applied to public index data; none can be bought.
14 Oct 2026: 3 of 18 Tipsheet indices rose; the Nifty 500 fell 0.22%. Total return, before any cost or tax.
Trend
Tactical allocation
Rotation within equity
Diversified mixes
The line under each figure is its last three months. A date beside a name marks an index whose holding had no new price since then (gold and the G-sec index are carried forward on days without one); the move shown is its last. Levels before each index's launch in October 2026 are back-calculated.
Trend
Growth of 100 over the last year, weekly; drag the range below to change the start.
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Tactical allocation
Growth of 100 over the last year, weekly; drag the range below to change the start.
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Rotation within equity
Growth of 100 over the last year, weekly; drag the range below to change the start.
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Diversified mixes
Growth of 100 over the last year, weekly; drag the range below to change the start.
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What a monthly SIP earned
Rs 10,000 a month, started in any month from Apr 2005 and held ten years, after fund costs and tax. The Nifty Midcap 150 did best at the median (16.9% a year) and the 5-year G-sec worst (7.4%), against 4.6% for the same instalments in fixed deposits. Recent starts are less settled. Of SIPs begun in the last 36 months, 28 in the Nifty 100 would return less than went in if sold today, after tax; in the equal four-asset mix, none.
What a 5- and 10-year SIP returned
After-tax XIRR of every window, Rs 10,000 a month, per cent a year
How to read it. The dot is the median window and the bar the middle half. The shaded column is the fixed-deposit SIP on the same dates. On the right, how many separate periods the windows add up to: windows a month apart share almost every month, so ten-year results rest on 2 periods.
What a 5- and 10-year SIP returned. 2 horizons, 7 bands. Nifty 100: median +12.8%, 4 periods; Nifty LargeMidcap 250: median +15.5%, 4 periods; Nifty Midcap 150: median +17.9%, 4 periods; Nifty Smallcap 250: median +16.7%, 4 periods; Gold: median +10.0%, 4 periods; G-sec, 5-year: median +6.4%, 4 periods; Four assets, equal quarters: median +12.8%, 4 periods. Fixed deposit: median +4.9%.
Where a SIP stands today, by the month it began
After-tax XIRR to 8 Oct 2026 of a SIP started in each month since Apr 2005, sold today
How to read it. Read each panel from the right: the latest starts have had a year or two, so they swing with the last few months of the market. Starts from before 2020 have had time to settle. Below zero, the SIP is worth less than what was put in.
Where a SIP stands today, by the month it began. Small multiples, Apr 2005 to Oct 2025. Nifty 100: latest −14.0%, range −14.0% to 10.7%. Nifty LargeMidcap 250: latest −10.3%, range −10.3% to 13.2%. Nifty Midcap 150: latest −6.0%, range −6.0% to 16.2%. Nifty Smallcap 250: latest 6.2%, range 3.1% to 17.4%. Gold: latest 4.4%, range 4.4% to 30.6%. G-sec, 5-year: latest 1.8%, range 1.8% to 6.6%. 8 series in all; the table view lists every value.
Tax is for a 30% slab investor selling everything at the end, with the yearly equity exemption. Before tax, the ten-year medians were 0.3 to 0.6 points higher. Four assets is a quarter each in LargeMidcap 250, Smallcap 250, gold and G-sec, rebalanced each January. Historical tests, not advice.
The SIP studies: every horizon, before and after tax, and the popular refinements
Which sectors lead?
Over three months the Nifty Media led (+8.8%) and the Nifty Cement trailed (−11.3%), a spread of 20 points. Eight of 23 sector indices are above their 200-day average. Sorted by three-month return; click a heading to re-sort.
| Index | 52 weeks | 1D | 1W | 1M | 3M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | Off high | Trend | Momentum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nifty Media | +0.6% | +4.0% | +6.8% | +8.8% | +14.0% | +6.6% | −10.4% | −6.4% | At high | Upsince Jun ’26 | +1%19/23 | |
| Nifty IT | +1.2% | +8.8% | +4.4% | +5.5% | −19.2% | −12.4% | +0.4% | −1.3% | −22.5% | Downsince Feb ’26 | −5%21/23 | |
| Nifty MidSmall IT & Telecom | −0.1% | +4.0% | +1.6% | +5.4% | +0.5% | +6.5% | +7.9% | +7.1% | −3.7% | Upsince Jul ’26 | +14%8/23 | |
| Nifty Pharma | −1.3% | −2.6% | −3.0% | −0.5% | +13.9% | +17.5% | +19.9% | +12.6% | −5.3% | Upsince Apr ’26 | +27%3/23 | |
| Nifty PSU Bank | +0.3% | +1.0% | −2.2% | −1.7% | −3.6% | +8.3% | +18.2% | +25.9% | −16.8% | Downsince Sep ’26 | +15%7/23 | |
| Nifty Private Bank | −0.6% | +0.2% | −1.0% | −2.4% | −4.8% | −1.3% | +6.3% | +6.5% | −6.4% | Downsince Aug ’26 | +6%14/23 | |
| Nifty MidSmall Healthcare | −0.7% | −2.8% | −5.0% | −2.9% | +13.5% | +12.9% | +23.0% | +14.9% | −6.7% | Upsince Apr ’26 | +22%4/23 | |
| Nifty Chemicals | +0.9% | +1.1% | −3.9% | −3.0% | −1.0% | −0.8% | +7.2% | +3.7% | −7.3% | Downsince Sep ’26 | +6%15/23 | |
| Nifty Bank | −0.3% | +0.5% | −2.3% | −3.6% | −6.5% | −1.4% | +8.5% | +7.9% | −9.5% | Downsince Jul ’26 | +7%13/23 | |
| Nifty500 Healthcare | −1.1% | −2.7% | −5.7% | −3.9% | +9.5% | +8.0% | +19.1% | +12.4% | −7.4% | Upsince May ’26 | +20%6/23 | |
| Nifty REITs & Realty | −0.3% | −0.3% | −2.1% | −4.5% | +1.2% | +1.6% | +16.6% | +12.1% | −5.8% | Downsince Oct ’26 | +7%12/23 | |
| Nifty Healthcare | −1.2% | −2.5% | −5.0% | −4.6% | +7.5% | +7.2% | +18.3% | +12.2% | −7.5% | Upsince Apr ’26 | +20%5/23 | |
| Nifty Auto | −0.9% | +0.1% | −7.9% | −4.9% | −9.8% | −4.6% | +16.3% | +17.4% | −15.1% | Downsince Sep ’26 | +10%10/23 | |
| Nifty Metal | −0.6% | −2.3% | −7.5% | −5.1% | +8.7% | +20.1% | +21.8% | +16.3% | −11.8% | Downsince Oct ’26 | +33%1/23 | |
| Nifty Consumer Durables | +0.2% | +0.7% | −6.0% | −5.2% | −0.1% | −3.0% | +8.3% | +4.3% | −10.4% | Downsince Oct ’26 | +9%11/23 | |
| Nifty MidSmall Financial Services | −0.6% | +0.8% | −6.3% | −5.6% | +2.8% | +11.6% | +23.1% | +19.8% | −7.9% | Downsince Oct ’26 | +29%2/23 | |
| Nifty Oil & Gas | +1.0% | −1.6% | −4.4% | −5.6% | −14.0% | −7.2% | +10.8% | +6.4% | −14.8% | Downsince Mar ’26 | −1%20/23 | |
| Nifty Financial Services | −1.1% | +0.1% | −2.3% | −5.8% | −8.9% | −6.2% | +9.0% | +6.7% | −11.6% | Downsince Mar ’26 | +2%18/23 | |
| Nifty FMCG | +1.2% | +1.1% | +0.5% | −6.5% | −17.8% | −15.7% | −3.3% | +3.5% | −19.5% | Downsince Sep ’25 | −15%23/23 | |
| Nifty Financial Services Ex-Bank | −1.6% | 0.0% | −6.3% | −6.9% | −6.6% | −2.0% | +13.5% | +9.8% | −10.6% | Downsince Sep ’26 | +12%9/23 | |
| Nifty Financial Services 25/50 | −1.2% | +0.1% | −3.0% | −7.2% | −10.4% | −6.6% | +10.3% | +8.3% | −12.7% | Downsince Mar ’26 | +2%17/23 | |
| Nifty Realty | −0.9% | 0.0% | −3.0% | −10.1% | −5.9% | −6.9% | +10.7% | +9.2% | −14.7% | Downsince Oct ’26 | +5%16/23 | |
| Nifty Cement | −0.4% | −1.1% | −5.9% | −11.3% | −17.6% | −21.8% | +0.5% | +1.7% | −22.6% | Downsince Nov ’25 | −13%22/23 |
Themes and strategies: the extremes
The five best and worst of 81 theme and strategy indices over a month and over a year. Many share stocks with each other and with the sectors, so read these as where the market's money went, not as separate bets.
One month
- Nifty Waves+2.9%
- Nifty SME Emerge+0.2%
- Nifty50 Shariah−0.8%
- Nifty Shariah 25−1.0%
- Nifty500 Flexicap Quality 30−1.3%
- Nifty India Corporate Group Index - Aditya Birla Group−8.5%
- Nifty India Internet−7.5%
- Nifty India Corporate Group Index - Mahindra Group−6.7%
- Nifty Conglomerate 50−6.5%
- Nifty Transportation & Logistics−6.5%
One year
- Nifty India Defence+17.1%
- Nifty Capital Markets+14.8%
- Nifty IPO+11.6%
- Nifty High Beta 50+9.8%
- Nifty REITs & InvITs+9.1%
- Nifty India Railways PSU−23.6%
- Nifty India Tourism−14.2%
- Nifty Top 10 Equal Weight−12.5%
- Nifty Top 15 Equal Weight−11.9%
- Nifty50 Shariah−10.8%
Is leadership changing?
Each sector's return against the Nifty 500, in percentage points, over six months and over the last month. A sector moving from leading to weakening is losing its lead; one moving from lagging to improving is catching up. It is a picture of the recent past: my test of a sector-momentum rule found no reliable edge in it (see sector rotation).
Leading 7
Ahead over six months and over the last month
| Sector | 6M | 1M |
|---|---|---|
| Media | +20.8 | +10.4 |
| MidSmall IT & Telecom | +19.8 | +5.2 |
| Pharma | +16.9 | +0.6 |
| Realty | +9.1 | +0.6 |
| REITs & Realty | +5.9 | +1.5 |
| Private Bank | +2.3 | +2.6 |
| Bank | +0.1 | +1.3 |
Weakening 6
Ahead over six months, behind in the last month
| Sector | 6M | 1M |
|---|---|---|
| MidSmall Healthcare | +15.2 | −1.4 |
| Nifty500 Healthcare | +13.0 | −2.1 |
| Healthcare | +11.0 | −1.4 |
| Chemicals | +6.5 | −0.3 |
| MidSmall Financial Services | +4.9 | −2.7 |
| Consumer Durables | +1.1 | −2.4 |
Improving 5
Behind over six months, ahead in the last month
| Sector | 6M | 1M |
|---|---|---|
| IT | −0.7 | +8.0 |
| FMCG | −4.3 | +4.1 |
| PSU Bank | −5.6 | +1.4 |
| Financial Services | −3.5 | +1.3 |
| Financial Services 25/50 | −5.0 | +0.6 |
Lagging 5
Behind over six months and over the last month
| Sector | 6M | 1M |
|---|---|---|
| Oil & Gas | −4.9 | −0.8 |
| Cement | −9.9 | −2.3 |
| Financial Services Ex-Bank | −1.5 | −2.7 |
| Metal | −1.8 | −3.9 |
| Auto | −2.7 | −4.3 |
How have the years gone?
Calendar-year total returns for the main broad indices, newest first. Below, each year of six of them set against the worst fall inside that year. The Nifty 50 fell 10% or more from a peak in 21 of its 26 full years since 2000, and 16 of those years still ended higher. The median year's worst fall was −15% for the Nifty 50, −22% for the Smallcap 250 and −23% for the Microcap 250 (since 2006).
| 2026 YTD | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50 | −13 | +12 | +10 | +21 | +6 | +26 | +16 | +13 | +5 | +30 |
| Nifty Next 50 | 0 | +3 | +28 | +27 | +1 | +31 | +16 | +2 | −8 | +48 |
| Nifty 100 | −10 | +10 | +13 | +21 | +5 | +26 | +16 | +12 | +3 | +33 |
| Nifty 500 | −7 | +8 | +16 | +27 | +4 | +32 | +18 | +9 | −2 | +38 |
| Nifty Midcap 150 | −2 | +6 | +24 | +45 | +4 | +48 | +26 | +1 | −13 | +56 |
| Nifty Smallcap 250 | +7 | −5 | +27 | +49 | −3 | +63 | +26 | −7 | −26 | +58 |
| Nifty Microcap 250 | +16 | −10 | +35 | +67 | +10 | +78 | +38 | −24 | −27 | +76 |
| Nifty LargeMidcap 250 | −6 | +8 | +19 | +33 | +4 | +37 | +21 | +6 | −5 | +44 |
| Nifty MidSmallcap 400 | +1 | +2 | +25 | +46 | +2 | +53 | +26 | −2 | −17 | +57 |
| Nifty500 LargeMidSmall Equal-Cap Weighted | −2 | +4 | +22 | +38 | +2 | +46 | +23 | +2 | −13 | +49 |
Nifty 50
Nifty Next 50
Nifty 500
Nifty Midcap 150
Nifty Smallcap 250
Nifty Microcap 250
Bars: the calendar-year total return with dividends. Red marks: the largest fall from a peak within the year, counting the previous year-end as the first peak. The last bar is the year to 14 Oct 2026.
What the market costs
7 of 22 indices trade at a P/E above the middle of their own history. The Nifty 50's P/E of 19.3 is higher than 61% of weeks since 1999. Its price to book, which NSE's 2021 change in how it counts earnings did not affect, sits at the 10th percentile. Among sectors with ten years or more of comparable history, Nifty Pharma is dearest against its own past (75th percentile) and Nifty PSU Bank cheapest (23th).
| Index | P/E | Where it sits | P/B | Where it sits | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broad market | |||||
| Nifty Smallcap 100 | 37.7 | 94since 2021* | 3.76 | 81since 2011 | 0.62% |
| Nifty 500 | 21.7 | 65since 1999 | 3.09 | 46since 1999 | 0.93% |
| Nifty 50 | 19.3 | 61since 1999 | 2.78 | 10since 1999 | 1.10% |
| Nifty Smallcap 250 | 34.4 | 56since 2016 | 3.43 | 63since 2016 | 0.58% |
| Nifty MidSmallcap 400 | 30.2 | 49since 2021* | 3.67 | 66since 2016 | 0.60% |
| Nifty 100 | 19.1 | 45since 2005 | 2.87 | 13since 2005 | 1.07% |
| Nifty Midcap 100 | 28.0 | 41since 2021* | 3.78 | 82since 2005 | 0.60% |
| Nifty Midcap 150 | 28.3 | 40since 2021* | 3.82 | 67since 2016 | 0.62% |
| Nifty 200 | 20.4 | 38since 2011 | 3.01 | 27since 2011 | 0.98% |
| Nifty Next 50 | 18.1 | 36since 1999 | 3.31 | 57since 1999 | 0.94% |
| Nifty LargeMidcap 250 | 22.8 | 9since 2021* | 3.27 | 22since 2017 | 0.84% |
| Sectors | |||||
| Nifty Pharma | 39.8 | 75since 2005 | 4.85 | 36since 2005 | 0.60% |
| Nifty Energy | 14.5 | 68since 2005 | 2.00 | 47since 2005 | 1.17% |
| Nifty Infrastructure | 21.5 | 53since 2021* | 2.55 | 51since 2007 | 0.83% |
| Nifty Auto | 29.2 | 46since 2021* | 3.93 | 14since 2011 | 1.06% |
| Nifty FMCG | 31.4 | 43since 1999 | 7.52 | 15since 1999 | 0.93% |
| Nifty Metal | 15.8 | 37since 2021* | 2.55 | 87since 2011 | 1.20% |
| Nifty IT | 18.7 | 36since 1999 | 5.28 | 23since 1999 | 2.25% |
| Nifty Bank | 13.1 | 34since 2003 | 1.67 | 6since 2003 | 0.66% |
| Nifty Financial Services | 15.3 | 27since 2011 | 2.30 | 3since 2011 | 0.91% |
| Nifty PSU Bank | 7.4 | 23since 2007 | 1.13 | 43since 2007 | 0.75% |
| Nifty Realty | 34.8 | 5since 2021* | 3.59 | 73since 2007 | 0.47% |
Percentile: the share of weekly readings since the year shown at or below today's. P/E is on NSE's consolidated-earnings basis; before the switch on 31 Mar 2021, earlier earnings are scaled by each index's switch-day ratio. * Where that ratio is implausible (Auto, Metal, Realty, Midcap 100 and others), only the history since the switch is used. P/B has no break at the switch. Dividend yield is implied by the gap between the total-return and price indices. Source: NSE Indices; method in valuation.
CAPE, yield gaps and what valuation has said about later returns
Beyond prices
More to explore
Pages deeper in the site, each with its latest number: who owns Indian shares, what is borrowed against them, what options cost, and where the fund money sits.
What stands out today
Of the 51 readings with enough history to judge, 21 are outside their usual range. Each row is one reading, its dot placed between the lowest and highest it has ever been. The three furthest from usual are ringed, and described below.
Price
- Nifty 500 CAPE 30.8 Inside its usual range of 17.3 to 31.1. The record is 41.8, in September 2024.
- Nifty 50 CAPE 25.2 Inside its usual range of 17.7 to 27.6. The record is 34.9, in September 2024.
- Nifty 500 P/E 21.7 Inside its usual range of 14.5 to 23.5. The record is 38.6, in January 2021.
- Nifty 50 P/E 19.3 Inside its usual range of 14.9 to 21.4. The record is 34.9, in February 2021.
Breadth
- Net new 52-week highs 17 Inside its usual range of −2 to 31. The record is 208, in June 2014.
- Stocks 20% or more below their high 52% Inside its usual range of 29% to 66%. The record is 100%, in June 2006.
- Stocks above their 200-day average 51% Inside its usual range of 38% to 77%. The low is 1%, in October 2008.
- Stocks above their 50-day average 33% Inside its usual range of 31% to 72%. The low is 0%, in October 2008.
Speculation
- Margin book as a share of market value 0.32% Above its usual range of 0.03% to 0.16%, among the highest readings since 2017. The record is 0.32%, in October 2026.
- Equity derivatives open interest against market value 5.7% Above its usual range of 1.9% to 3.9%, among the highest readings since 2014. The record is 6.0%, in April 2026.
- Index options' share of F&O premium 31% Above its usual range of 3% to 26%. The record is 37%, in March 2023.
- IPO heat 0.77 Above its usual range of 0.44 to 0.76. The record is 0.90, in September 2024.
- Share of cash turnover that ends in delivery 44% Inside its usual range of 35% to 44%. The record is 51%, in March 2017.
- Options premium against cash turnover 0.45× Inside its usual range of 0.11× to 0.57×. The record is 1.31×, in March 2023.
- Index options put-call ratio 0.98 Inside its usual range of 0.92 to 1.01. The record is 1.29, in September 2009.
- Median IPO listing-day gain, last 3 months 15% Inside its usual range of 3% to 22%. The record is 86%, in September 2020.
- Cash turnover as a share of market value, annualised 61% Inside its usual range of 52% to 87%. The low is 37%, in February 2014.
- Foreign investors' long share of index futures 9% Below its usual range of 39% to 69%, among the lowest readings since 2012. The low is 6%, in September 2025.
Buyers
- Mutual funds' share 11.6% The highest reading since the series began in 2009.
- Mutual funds' share minus foreign investors' −4.3 pts The highest reading since the series began in 2009.
- Domestic institutions' share 19.1% Above its usual range of 11.2% to 14.4%, among the highest readings since 2009. The record is 19.2%, in March 2026.
- SIP stoppage ratio 79% Above its usual range of 51% to 74%. The record is 353%, in April 2025.
- Retail investors' share 7.4% Above its usual range of 6.5% to 7.2%. The record is 7.7%, in December 2024.
- Promoters' share 50.2% Inside its usual range of 50.2% to 52.4%. The low is 49.4%, in March 2019.
- Foreign investors' share of listed India 15.9% Below its usual range of 16.7% to 20.2%. The low is 13.4%, in June 2009.
Money
- Money supply (M3) growth 16.6% Above its usual range of 10.3% to 16.1%. The record is 24.5%, in February 2008.
- Bank lending to individuals, growth 16.2% Inside its usual range of 14.1% to 18.2%. The record is 20.7%, in March 2023.
- Real repo rate 0.43% Inside its usual range of −1.43% to 2.62%. The low is −11.47%, in January 2010.
- Banks' average rate on new loans 8.61% Inside its usual range of 8.52% to 9.80%. The low is 7.51%, in April 2022.
- RBI repo rate 5.50% Below its usual range of 5.90% to 7.50%. The low is 4.00%, in May 2020.
Economy
- WPI inflation 9.9% Above its usual range of 0.3% to 5.1%. The record is 16.6%, in May 2022.
- Real GDP growth 7.8% Above its usual range of 5.4% to 7.7%. The record is 22.6%, in April 2021.
- Industrial production growth 8.0% Inside its usual range of 2.9% to 8.2%. The record is 133.5%, in April 2021.
- Core CPI inflation 4.4% Inside its usual range of 4.3% to 6.1%. The low is 3.1%, in May 2024.
- CPI inflation 4.8% Inside its usual range of 4.4% to 9.3%. The low is 0.0%, in November 1999.
World
- US 10-year real yield 2.91% Above its usual range of 0.31% to 1.89%, among the highest readings since 2003. The record is 3.15%, in November 2008.
- Brent crude 125.4 Above its usual range of 19.6 to 75.2, among the highest readings since 1987. The record is 144.0, in July 2008.
- The broad dollar 121.6 Above its usual range of 93.8 to 117.2. The record is 130.0, in January 2025.
- US net liquidity 5,859 Above its usual range of 1,890 to 5,621. The record is 7,088, in November 2021.
- US CPI inflation 3.4% Inside its usual range of 1.3% to 4.6%. The record is 23.7%, in June 1920.
- Nifty 50 and S&P 500, 1-year correlation 0.44 Inside its usual range of 0.37 to 0.55. The low is 0.17, in December 2019.
- US 10-year Treasury yield 5.24% Inside its usual range of 3.90% to 7.52%. The low is 0.52%, in August 2020.
- US financial conditions (NFCI) −0.49 Inside its usual range of −0.58 to 0.15. The low is −1.10, in August 1993.
- US 10-year minus 2-year +0.44 pts Inside its usual range of +0.19 pts to +1.47 pts. The low is −2.41 pts, in March 1980.
- Nifty 50 and 11 world markets, median correlation 0.33 Lower than 84% of readings since 2005.
Funds
- Arbitrage funds: estimated net equity (the control) 5.1% Above its usual range of −2.4% to −0.9%, among the highest readings since 2018. The record is 8.6%, in October 2026.
- International ETFs: median premium to NAV 17.81% Above its usual range of −0.83% to 5.71%. The record is 38.13%, in October 2026.
- Equity ETFs: median 1-year tracking difference −0.23 pts Higher than 75% of readings since 2008.
- Balanced advantage funds' net equity 60% Inside its usual range of 47% to 61%. The record is 74%, in March 2020.
- Gold ETFs: median premium to NAV 0.03% Inside its usual range of −0.92% to 0.20%. The record is 11.30%, in December 2013.
- Equity ETFs: median premium to NAV −0.03% Inside its usual range of −0.24% to 0.15%. The low is −6.28%, in March 2007.
- Mutual funds' share11.6%
The highest reading since the series began in 2009.
- Margin book as a share of market value0.32%
Above its usual range of 0.03% to 0.16%, among the highest readings since 2017. The record is 0.32%, in October 2026.
- US 10-year real yield2.91%
Above its usual range of 0.31% to 1.89%, among the highest readings since 2003. The record is 3.15%, in November 2008.
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