Data to 5 October 2026

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US 10-year real yield

2.92%
a year after inflation, 2 Oct 2026

Above its usual range of 0.31% to 1.89%, among the highest readings since 2003. The record is 3.15%, in November 2008. Up from 1.76% a year ago.

20102020−1.00%0.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%3.15%, Nov 2008usual range, 0.31% to 1.89%2.92%20052010201520202025−1.00%0.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%3.15%, Nov 2008usual range, 0.31% to 1.89%2.92%20052010201520202025−1.00%0.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%3.15%, Nov 2008−1.19%, Aug 2021usual range, 0.31% to 1.89%2.92%20052010201520202025−1.00%0.00%1.00%2.00%3.00%3.15%, Nov 2008−1.19%, Aug 2021usual range, 0.31% to 1.89%2.92%

What it is. The 10-year US Treasury yield after expected inflation (from inflation-protected bonds).

How to read it. The true price of money in the US. High real yields weigh on every risky asset worldwide.

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System H.15 Method Data

The numbers

Latest2.92%2 Oct 2026
A week ago2.83%
A month ago2.45%
A year ago1.76%
Usual range0.31% to 1.89%
Median1.06%
Lowest−1.19%3 Aug 2021
Highest3.15%21 Nov 2008
Percentile, full history100
Percentile, last 5 years100

The usual range is the middle half of readings since 2003. A percentile is the share of the 5,943 readings since 2 Jan 2003 that were below today's. Data: statistics, history (JSON); history as CSV.

To cite: tipsheet, “US 10-year real yield”, data to 2 Oct 2026, https://tipsheet.markets/i/us-real-yield/

Read it with

US 10-year minus 2-year +0.45 ptsusual
US CPI inflation 3.4%usual
US net liquidity 5,747above usual
Fed balance sheet 6,743below its record

the usual range: the middle half of all readingstodayEach line runs from the lowest reading ever to the highest.