Data to 8 October 2026
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GTAA, India only

One third each to Nifty 500, 5-year G-sec and gold; a sleeve whose month-end level is below its 10-month average sits in cash. It holds 33% G-secs, 67% cash since Sept 2026. From Apr 2005 it returned 9.8% a year after tax, against 12.3% for its benchmark; its worst fall was −18%.

What it holds now

Target since Sept 2026: 33% G-secs, 67% cash.

The numbers behind the decision in force, taken 30 Sept 2026.

The numbers behind the decision in force, taken 30 Sept 2026.
Above its 10-month average by
Nifty 500−2.8%
G-sec 5-year (NSE benchmark index)1.3%
Gold (domestic, rupees)−1.5%

Its record

Growth of one rupee after costs, before tax, on a log scale, beside its benchmark: equal parts Nifty 500, gold and 5-year G-secs, rebalanced each January. The benchmark holds the assets the rule chooses from but never switches, so the gap is what the rule's timing added or cost. The marks show when the rule was published and when it entered this library; only the stretch after the second mark is free of hindsight. Deciding on a different day of the month would have changed its return before tax from 9.8% to 11.1% a year.

GTAA, India only: growth of one rupee

How to read it. Log scale, so equal slopes are equal returns.

GTAA, India onlyBenchmark

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Source: tipsheet models, computed from NSE total-return indices, domestic gold (World Gold Council), the NSE 5-year G-sec index, the 91-day T-bill, and for foreign legs the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 in rupees (ECB rates).
Method JSON

GTAA, India only: fall from its previous peak

How to read it. How far each was below its own previous high, weekly. The model's worst fall was −18%, against −19% for its benchmark, on daily closes; the weekly line can look a little shallower.

GTAA, India onlyBenchmark

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Source: tipsheet models, computed from NSE total-return indices, domestic gold (World Gold Council), the NSE 5-year G-sec index, the 91-day T-bill, and for foreign legs the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 in rupees (ECB rates).
Method JSON

Apr 2005 to Oct 2026. Percentages except the Sharpe ratio, turnover and tax cost. Deflated Sharpe ratio against the benchmark: 0.00 (0.95 is the usual bar), counting every rule tried.

Apr 2005 to Oct 2026. Percentages except the Sharpe ratio, turnover and tax cost. Deflated Sharpe ratio against the benchmark: 0.00 (0.95 is the usual bar), counting every rule tried.
This modelBenchmark
Return a year, before tax10.913.0
Return a year, after tax9.812.3
Volatility7.38.8
Worst fall−18.0−18.9
Sharpe ratio0.6–
Average share in equity24.5–
Turnover a year1.4–
Tax cost, points a year1.1–

The live log holds 2 sessions, 1 of them filled in after the day; its return differs from today's backtest over the same days by 2.06 points.

The live log holds 2 sessions, 1 of them filled in after the day; its return differs from today's backtest over the same days by 2.06 points.
PeriodDatesTotal returnA yearMore
Before the rule was publishedApr 2005 to Dec 200768.7%20.9%
Published, before it entered this libraryDec 2007 to Oct 2026446.7%9.5%
Since it entered this library (live)Oct 2026 to Oct 20260.1%–

As an index: Tipsheet GTAA India

All the Tipsheet indices

The same rule published as an index: total return, before any fund cost, trading cost or tax, set to 1,000 at the end of 2006 like every Tipsheet index. Its launch date is 2 Oct 2026, when the rule entered this library; the lighter line before it is back-calculated. Tipsheet indices are reference series for research only: not official indices, not investable, and not advice.

Tipsheet GTAA India, 1,000 at the end of 2006

Back-calculatedSince launch

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Source: tipsheet models, computed from NSE total-return indices, domestic gold (World Gold Council), the NSE 5-year G-sec index, the 91-day T-bill, and for foreign legs the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 in rupees (ECB rates).
Method JSON

What it held

The share of the model in each asset at every month-end.

GTAA, India only: holdings at each month-end

Cash (91-day T-bill, as a liquid fund)Gold (domestic, rupees)G-sec 5-year (NSE benchmark index)Nifty 500

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Source: tipsheet models, computed from NSE total-return indices, domestic gold (World Gold Council), the NSE 5-year G-sec index, the 91-day T-bill, and for foreign legs the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 in rupees (ECB rates).
Method JSON

The rule

One third each to Nifty 500, 5-year G-sec and gold; a sleeve whose month-end level is below its 10-month average sits in cash.

Faber (2007), A quantitative approach to tactical asset allocation. Rule published 2007; entered this library 2 Oct 2026. It is the portfolio lab's rule, unchanged.

The workings

Method

Data

Every chart has a table view, a CSV download and a link to its published JSON. Bundles are listed in data status.

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