Data to 7 October 2026
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World

China: the economy in numbers

The economy grew 4.3% in Q2 2026; inflation was 0.8% in Aug 2026; the policy rate is 3.00%. Every reading tipsheet tracks for China, with its history and what is usual for it. Readings China does not publish openly are listed, not dropped.

Written for investors following China from India.

Snapshot

The latest reading of each measure, the period it is for, the reading a year earlier and where today's sits in the economy's own history since 2000 (100 = the highest).

MeasureLatestPeriodA year earlierPercentileSource
Real GDP growth+4.3%Q2 2026 +5.26OECD
Exports, US$+20.0%Jun 2026 +6.065IMF (derived)
Leading indicator98.1Aug 2026 100.110OECD
Unemployment rate5.6%Q3 2020, stopped 5.2–ILOSTAT
Consumer price inflation0.8%Aug 2026 −0.428BIS
Producer prices−0.7%Dec 2022, stopped +3.744IMF (derived)
Policy rate3.00%29 Sep 3.005BIS
10-year government bond yield1.69%Aug 2026 1.844OECD
Private credit and credit gap−5.1 ppQ1 2026 −4.430BIS
Currency against the dollar, daily+6.2%2 Oct −1.490FRED (DEXCHUS)
Real effective exchange rate91.8Aug 2026 86.856BIS
Stock market return−1.0%1 Oct +16.446index history (returns only)
Current accountUS$ +824 bnQ2 2026 +632100IMF (derived)
Trade balanceUS$ +1,188 bnJun 2026 +1,14399IMF (derived)
FX reserves+4.4%Jun 2026 +5.044IMF (derived)
Government debt, % of GDP101%Q1 2026 93100BIS
Budget balance, % of GDP−7.6%2025 −6.54OECD
House prices, real−7.0%Q2 2026 −6.49BIS

Not published openly and on time, so not shown: industrial production, retail sales volume, core inflation (ex food and energy), inflation expectations, money supply growth.

Growth and jobs

Output, factories, shops, exports, the leading indicator and unemployment.

Real GDP growth: +4.3% in Q2 2026, down from +5.2 a year earlier

Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: OECD
JSON

Exports, US$: +20.0% in Jun 2026, up from +6.0 a year earlier

% on a year earlier. Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: IMF (derived)
JSON

Leading indicator: 98.1 in Aug 2026, down from 100.1 a year earlier

Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: OECD
JSON

Unemployment rate: 5.6% in Q3 2020 (series stopped)

Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: ILOSTAT
JSON

Prices

Consumer prices, the core measure without food and energy, producer prices and expected inflation.

Consumer price inflation: 0.8% in Aug 2026, up from −0.4 a year earlier

Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: BIS
JSON

Producer prices: −0.7% in Dec 2022 (series stopped)

% on a year earlier. Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: IMF (derived)
JSON

Interest rates and money

The central bank's rate, the government's borrowing cost, the central bank's balance sheet, money and credit.

Policy rate: 3.00% on 29 Sep, unchanged on a year earlier

Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: BIS
JSON

10-year government bond yield: 1.69% in Aug 2026, down from 1.84 a year earlier

Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: OECD
JSON

Private credit and credit gap: −5.1 pp in Q1 2026, down from −4.4 a year earlier

Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: BIS
JSON

The currency and the stock market

The currency's value in dollars over a year, its real trade-weighted value, and the stock market's one-year return.

Currency against the dollar, daily: +6.2% on 2 Oct, up from −1.4 a year earlier

Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: FRED (DEXCHUS)
JSON

Real effective exchange rate: 91.8 in Aug 2026, up from 86.8 a year earlier

Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: BIS
JSON

Stock market return: −1.0% on 1 Oct, down from +16.4 a year earlier

Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: index history (returns only)
JSON

Trade, reserves and the government

What the economy earns from the world, its reserves, its government's debt and deficit, and house prices.

Current account: US$ +824 bn in Q2 2026, up from +632 a year earlier

US$ billion, summed over the last 12 months (or 4 quarters). Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: IMF (derived)
JSON

Trade balance: US$ +1,188 bn in Jun 2026, up from +1,143 a year earlier

US$ billion, summed over the last 12 months (or 4 quarters). Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: IMF (derived)
JSON

FX reserves: +4.4% in Jun 2026, down from +5.0 a year earlier

% on a year earlier. Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: IMF (derived)
JSON

Government debt, % of GDP: 101% in Q1 2026, up from 93 a year earlier

Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: BIS
JSON

Budget balance, % of GDP: −7.6% on 2025, down from −6.5 a year earlier

Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: OECD
JSON

House prices, real: −7.0% in Q2 2026, down from −6.4 a year earlier

Shaded: the usual range (middle half of readings) since 2005.

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Source: BIS
JSON

The workings

The question

Is the world helping or hurting Indian shares?

Method

Data

Every chart has a table view, a CSV download and a link to its published JSON. Bundles are listed in data status.

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