Data to 8 October 2026
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60/40 with trend

60/40, with the equity sleeve in cash when Nifty 500 is below its 10-month average. It holds 40% G-secs, 60% cash since Sept 2026. From Apr 2005 it returned 9.7% a year after tax, against 10.8% for its benchmark; its worst fall was −21%.

What it holds now

Target since Sept 2026: 40% G-secs, 60% cash.

The numbers behind the decision in force, taken 30 Sept 2026.

The numbers behind the decision in force, taken 30 Sept 2026.
Above its 10-month average by
Nifty 500−2.8%

Its record

Growth of one rupee after costs, before tax, on a log scale, beside its benchmark: equal parts Nifty 500 and 5-year G-secs, rebalanced each January. The benchmark holds the assets the rule chooses from but never switches, so the gap is what the rule's timing added or cost. The marks show when the rule was published and when it entered this library; only the stretch after the second mark is free of hindsight. Deciding on a different day of the month would have changed its return before tax from 8.0% to 10.8% a year.

60/40 with trend: growth of one rupee

How to read it. Log scale, so equal slopes are equal returns.

60/40 with trendBenchmark

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Source: tipsheet models, computed from NSE total-return indices, domestic gold (World Gold Council), the NSE 5-year G-sec index, the 91-day T-bill, and for foreign legs the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 in rupees (ECB rates).
Method JSON

60/40 with trend: fall from its previous peak

How to read it. How far each was below its own previous high, weekly. The model's worst fall was −21%, against −30% for its benchmark, on daily closes; the weekly line can look a little shallower.

60/40 with trendBenchmark

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Source: tipsheet models, computed from NSE total-return indices, domestic gold (World Gold Council), the NSE 5-year G-sec index, the 91-day T-bill, and for foreign legs the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 in rupees (ECB rates).
Method JSON

Apr 2005 to Oct 2026. Percentages except the Sharpe ratio, turnover and tax cost. Deflated Sharpe ratio against the benchmark: 0.00 (0.95 is the usual bar), counting every rule tried.

Apr 2005 to Oct 2026. Percentages except the Sharpe ratio, turnover and tax cost. Deflated Sharpe ratio against the benchmark: 0.00 (0.95 is the usual bar), counting every rule tried.
This modelBenchmark
Return a year, before tax10.311.3
Return a year, after tax9.710.8
Volatility9.711.0
Worst fall−21.0−29.5
Sharpe ratio0.4–
Average share in equity44.1–
Turnover a year1.2–
Tax cost, points a year0.5–

The live log holds 2 sessions, 1 of them filled in after the day; its return differs from today's backtest over the same days by 2.14 points.

The live log holds 2 sessions, 1 of them filled in after the day; its return differs from today's backtest over the same days by 2.14 points.
PeriodDatesTotal returnA yearMore
Before the rule was publishedApr 2005 to Dec 200796.0%27.7%
Published, before it entered this libraryDec 2007 to Oct 2026318.0%7.9%
Since it entered this library (live)Oct 2026 to Oct 20260.0%–

What it held

The share of the model in each asset at every month-end.

60/40 with trend: holdings at each month-end

Cash (91-day T-bill, as a liquid fund)G-sec 5-year (NSE benchmark index)Nifty 500

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Source: tipsheet models, computed from NSE total-return indices, domestic gold (World Gold Council), the NSE 5-year G-sec index, the 91-day T-bill, and for foreign legs the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 in rupees (ECB rates).
Method JSON

The rule

60/40, with the equity sleeve in cash when Nifty 500 is below its 10-month average.

Faber (2007) applied to the equity sleeve (v1 rule). Rule published 2007; entered this library 2 Oct 2026. It is the portfolio lab's rule, unchanged.

The workings

Method

Data

Every chart has a table view, a CSV download and a link to its published JSON. Bundles are listed in data status.

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