Data to 8 October 2026
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Permanent portfolio

25% each in Nifty 500 TRI, long G-secs (synthetic 10-year), gold and cash (91-day T-bill), rebalanced each January. It holds 25% Nifty 500, 25% long G-secs, 25% gold, 25% cash . From Apr 2005 it returned 10.8% a year after tax; its worst fall was −15%.

What it holds now

Target : 25% Nifty 500, 25% long G-secs, 25% gold, 25% cash.

Its record

Growth of one rupee after costs, before tax, on a log scale. The marks show when the rule was published and when it entered this library; only the stretch after the second mark is free of hindsight.

Permanent portfolio: growth of one rupee

How to read it. Log scale, so equal slopes are equal returns.

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Source: tipsheet models, computed from NSE total-return indices, domestic gold (World Gold Council), the NSE 5-year G-sec index, the 91-day T-bill, and for foreign legs the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 in rupees (ECB rates).
Method JSON

Permanent portfolio: fall from its previous peak

How to read it. How far it was below its previous high, weekly. Its worst fall was −15% on daily closes; the weekly line can look a little shallower.

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Source: tipsheet models, computed from NSE total-return indices, domestic gold (World Gold Council), the NSE 5-year G-sec index, the 91-day T-bill, and for foreign legs the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 in rupees (ECB rates).
Method JSON

Apr 2005 to Oct 2026. Percentages except the Sharpe ratio, turnover and tax cost.

Apr 2005 to Oct 2026. Percentages except the Sharpe ratio, turnover and tax cost.
This modelBenchmark
Return a year, before tax11.4–
Return a year, after tax10.8–
Volatility6.7–
Worst fall−14.9–
Sharpe ratio0.7–
Average share in equity25.1–
Turnover a year0.0–
Tax cost, points a year0.6–

The live log holds 2 sessions, 1 of them filled in after the day; its return differs from today's backtest over the same days by 1.50 points.

The live log holds 2 sessions, 1 of them filled in after the day; its return differs from today's backtest over the same days by 1.50 points.
PeriodDatesTotal returnA yearMore
Before the rule was published–––
Published, before it entered this libraryApr 2005 to Oct 2026922.2%11.4%
Since it entered this library (live)Oct 2026 to Oct 20260.4%–

What it held

The share of the model in each asset at every month-end.

Permanent portfolio: holdings at each month-end

Cash (91-day T-bill, as a liquid fund)Gold (domestic, rupees)G-sec 10-year (synthetic, constant maturity)Nifty 500

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Source: tipsheet models, computed from NSE total-return indices, domestic gold (World Gold Council), the NSE 5-year G-sec index, the 91-day T-bill, and for foreign legs the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 in rupees (ECB rates).
Method JSON

The rule

25% each in Nifty 500 TRI, long G-secs (synthetic 10-year), gold and cash (91-day T-bill), rebalanced each January.

Browne (1987), Why the Best-Laid Investment Plans Usually Go Wrong. Rule published 1987; entered this library 2 Oct 2026. It is the portfolio lab's rule, unchanged.

The workings

Method

Data

Every chart has a table view, a CSV download and a link to its published JSON. Bundles are listed in data status.

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