Data to 8 October 2026
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Hierarchical risk parity

Single-linkage clustering on correlation distance, then recursive bisection with inverse-variance weights; last 252 sessions; monthly. It holds 96% G-secs, 3% Nifty 500, 1% gold since May 2026. From Apr 2005 it returned 7.2% a year after tax, against 12.3% for its benchmark; its worst fall was −6%.

What it holds now

Target since May 2026: 96% G-secs, 3% Nifty 500, 1% gold.

Its record

Growth of one rupee after costs, before tax, on a log scale, beside its benchmark: equal parts Nifty 500, gold and 5-year G-secs, rebalanced each January. The benchmark holds the assets the rule chooses from but never switches, so the gap is what the rule's timing added or cost. The marks show when the rule was published and when it entered this library; only the stretch after the second mark is free of hindsight.

Hierarchical risk parity: growth of one rupee

How to read it. Log scale, so equal slopes are equal returns.

Hierarchical risk parityBenchmark

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Source: tipsheet models, computed from NSE total-return indices, domestic gold (World Gold Council), the NSE 5-year G-sec index, the 91-day T-bill, and for foreign legs the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 in rupees (ECB rates).
Method JSON

Hierarchical risk parity: fall from its previous peak

How to read it. How far each was below its own previous high, weekly. The model's worst fall was −6%, against −19% for its benchmark, on daily closes; the weekly line can look a little shallower.

Hierarchical risk parityBenchmark

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Source: tipsheet models, computed from NSE total-return indices, domestic gold (World Gold Council), the NSE 5-year G-sec index, the 91-day T-bill, and for foreign legs the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 in rupees (ECB rates).
Method JSON

Apr 2005 to Oct 2026. Percentages except the Sharpe ratio, turnover and tax cost. Deflated Sharpe ratio against the benchmark: 0.00 (0.95 is the usual bar), counting every rule tried.

Apr 2005 to Oct 2026. Percentages except the Sharpe ratio, turnover and tax cost. Deflated Sharpe ratio against the benchmark: 0.00 (0.95 is the usual bar), counting every rule tried.
This modelBenchmark
Return a year, before tax7.713.0
Return a year, after tax7.212.3
Volatility3.78.8
Worst fall−6.3−18.9
Sharpe ratio0.3–
Average share in equity2.9–
Turnover a year0.1–
Tax cost, points a year0.5–

The live log holds 2 sessions, 1 of them filled in after the day; its return differs from today's backtest over the same days by 0.48 points.

The live log holds 2 sessions, 1 of them filled in after the day; its return differs from today's backtest over the same days by 0.48 points.
PeriodDatesTotal returnA yearMore
Before the rule was publishedApr 2005 to Dec 2016148.3%8.0%
Published, before it entered this libraryDec 2016 to Oct 202698.8%7.3%
Since it entered this library (live)Oct 2026 to Oct 20260.1%–

What it held

The share of the model in each asset at every month-end.

Hierarchical risk parity: holdings at each month-end

Gold (domestic, rupees)G-sec 5-year (NSE benchmark index)Nifty 500

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Source: tipsheet models, computed from NSE total-return indices, domestic gold (World Gold Council), the NSE 5-year G-sec index, the 91-day T-bill, and for foreign legs the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 in rupees (ECB rates).
Method JSON

The rule

Single-linkage clustering on correlation distance, then recursive bisection with inverse-variance weights; last 252 sessions; monthly.

Lopez de Prado (2016). Rule published 2016; entered this library 2 Oct 2026. It is the portfolio lab's rule, unchanged.

The workings

Method

Data

Every chart has a table view, a CSV download and a link to its published JSON. Bundles are listed in data status.

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