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Concalls · Pharmaceuticals · Mid cap

Natco's trough is here. The growth math starts next year.

FY27 profit guidance of ₹700-750 cr quantifies the Revlimid hit. From FY28, management targets 15-25% annual earnings growth and is ready to spend ₹2,400 cr on deals.

2 earlier stories on Natco Pharma Ltd.
Mkt cap₹18,196 cr
P/E12.83×
ROE24.79%
Debt / eq.0.04
Div yld0.59%
₹700-750 cr FY27 net profit guidance — the post-Revlimid trough.

What's new

  • Natco guided for FY27 consolidated revenue of ₹3,400-3,500 cr and net profit of ₹700-750 cr.
  • For the first time, management put a target on long-term growth: 15-25% annual earnings compounding from FY28.
  • The company confirmed an active M&A strategy, with ₹2,400 cr of net cash and 1-2 acquisitions targeted for FY27.

Why this matters

The guidance puts a number on the post-Revlimid trough, giving investors a clear base year to measure the recovery. The 15-25% growth target ties that recovery to specific product launches and a substantial acquisition war chest.

What we're watching

  • Progress on US launches of specialty drugs Semaglutide and Somatuline.
  • Any acquisition announcements in FY27.
  • Execution of the international expansion in South Africa, Brazil, and Canada.

The full read

Natco Pharma's Q4 call confirms FY27 will be the trough. Management guided for consolidated revenue of ₹3,400-3,500 crore and net profit of ₹700-750 crore. That profit figure is the base. The forward story hinges on specialty launches like Semaglutide and Somatuline, and new international markets. For the first time, management put a number on its long-term aspirations: 15-25% annual earnings growth from FY28. To fund this, Natco is sitting on ₹2,400 crore in net cash and plans 1-2 acquisitions in FY27. The guidance gives a clear trough. The next proof point is execution on the pipeline and the M&A front.

Questions answered

What profit does Natco expect for FY27?
Management guided for consolidated net profit of ₹700-750 crore, reflecting the full-year impact of losing Revlimid exclusivity.
When does the growth story restart?
From FY28, management targets 15-25% annual earnings compounding, driven by specialty launches and new international markets.
What is Natco's plan for its cash?
The company has ₹2,400 crore of net cash and is targeting 1-2 acquisitions to close in FY27.
Which products are the key growth drivers after FY27?
The growth targets rely on specialty launches like Semaglutide and Somatuline, plus expansion into markets such as South Africa, Brazil, and Canada.
Mentioned: Semaglutide · Somatuline · ₹2,400 cr net cash
Primary source BSE · NSE

An independent reading of the company's own disclosure — the primary filing above is the final word.

  1. 29 May 2026 · 7:14 PM IST Natco's trough is here. The growth math starts next year.
  2. 1d ago Natco Pharma files audited results for FY26
  3. 1d ago Natco Pharma profit drops 25% as annual revenue slips