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    <title>Maiden Forgings Ltd. (MAIDEN) — Tipsheet</title>
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    <description>Every Tipsheet Editorial note covering Maiden Forgings Ltd. (MAIDEN), newest first. Grounded in BSE/NSE primary-source filings.</description>
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    <lastBuildDate>Mon, 06 Jul 2026 10:22:48 GMT</lastBuildDate>
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      <title>Maiden Forgings targets 60-70% revenue from defense within 3 years</title>
      <link>https://tipsheet.markets/maiden-maiden-forgings-targets-60-70-revenue-from-defense-within-3-years-115758/</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="true">https://tipsheet.markets/maiden-maiden-forgings-targets-60-70-revenue-from-defense-within-3-years-115758/</guid>
      <pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2026 11:11:30 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>FY26 revenue of ₹234 cr grew 12-13%; FY27 guided 20-25% higher. But the real bet is defense: ₹400-500 cr in medium term, from a company that currently does ₹3 cr net profit.</description>
      <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>FY26 revenue of ₹234 cr grew 12-13%; FY27 guided 20-25% higher. But the real bet is defense: ₹400-500 cr in medium term, from a company that currently does ₹3 cr net profit.</em></p>
<h3>What’s new</h3><ul><li>Management targets 60-70% revenue from defense/government within 2-3 years.</li><li>FY26 revenue hit ₹234 cr, up 12-13%; Q1 FY27 already up 20%+.</li><li>Defense business backed by DRDO and Ordnance Factory registrations.</li></ul>
<h3>Why it matters</h3><p>Maiden is repositioning from a commodity bright-bar supplier to an engineering-led defense play. The target of ₹400-500 cr from defense alone is nearly double the current entire revenue. But the company's market cap is just ₹111 cr and net profit ₹3 cr per quarter. The ambition is enormous relative to scale. The concall confirms the narrative but adds no fresh hard data, so execution remains the unknown.</p>
<h3>What we’re watching</h3><ul><li>Whether the 60-70% revenue mix shift materializes in 2-3 years.</li><li>Order wins from DRDO/Ordnance Factory to validate the defense pivot.</li><li>FY27 delivery against 20-25% growth guidance.</li></ul>
<h3>The full read</h3><p>Maiden Forgings wants to transform from a commodity bright-bar supplier into a defense-focused engineering firm. On a concall June 29, management laid out a target of <strong>60-70%</strong> of revenue from defense and government segments in <strong>2-3 years</strong>. That would mean <strong>₹400-500 crore</strong> in defense revenue alone, nearly double FY26's <strong>₹234 crore</strong> total. Hardly. The company reports FY27 is already off to a strong start: Q1 growth over <strong>20%</strong>, and full-year guidance of <strong>20-25%</strong>. But the ambition is enormous for a company with a <strong>₹111 crore</strong> market cap and just <strong>₹3 crore</strong> net profit in its latest quarter. The concall reaffirmed the narrative without fresh hard data. The real test is order wins from DRDO and Ordnance Factory registrations. For now, it's a story of potential, not proof.</p>
<p>Primary source: <a href="https://www.bseindia.com/corporates/ann.html?scrip=543874&dur=A">BSE</a> · <a href="https://www.nseindia.com/companies-listing/corporate-filings-announcements?symbol=MAIDEN">NSE</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
      <category>Concalls</category>
      <dc:creator>Tipsheet Editorial</dc:creator>
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    <item>
      <title>Maiden Forgings MD cuts peak revenue target, admits past mindset issues</title>
      <link>https://tipsheet.markets/maiden-maiden-forgings-md-cuts-peak-revenue-target-admits-past-mindset-issues-109657/</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="true">https://tipsheet.markets/maiden-maiden-forgings-md-cuts-peak-revenue-target-admits-past-mindset-issues-109657/</guid>
      <pubDate>Thu, 18 Jun 2026 15:14:20 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>Nishant Garg downgrades expanded capacity potential to ₹550-600 cr from ₹700-800 cr, flags internal problems before Oct &#39;23, and lays out a ₹1,000 cr revenue roadmap by FY30.</description>
      <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Nishant Garg downgrades expanded capacity potential to ₹550-600 cr from ₹700-800 cr, flags internal problems before Oct '23, and lays out a ₹1,000 cr revenue roadmap by FY30.</em></p>
<h3>What’s new</h3><ul><li>Revenue potential of expanded 62,000-ton capacity cut to ₹550-600 cr from ₹700-800 cr guided six months ago.</li><li>MD admits 'mindset' issues within management before October 2023 hindered growth.</li><li>Roadmap targets ₹300 cr (FY25), ₹450 cr (FY26), ₹1,000 cr (FY29-30) with ₹150 cr EBITDA.</li></ul>
<h3>Why it matters</h3><p>For a nano-cap with ₹109 cr market cap, a 20%+ downgrade on the headline capacity potential is material — but the candid admission of past internal failures and a clear long-term plan could rebuild credibility. Execution on the FY25 target (nearly 3x current revenue) is the first real test.</p>
<h3>What we’re watching</h3><ul><li>Whether the ₹300 cr FY25 target materialises given current run-rate.</li><li>Cost savings from consolidation into new 20,000 sq yard facility by September 2024.</li><li>Defence/Infrastructure traction from DRDO and Ordnance Factory registrations.</li></ul>
<h3>The full read</h3><p>Maiden Forgings Managing Director Nishant Garg used a June 18 analyst call to reset expectations and admit past mistakes. The new peak revenue potential for the <strong>62,000-ton</strong> expanded capacity: <strong>₹550-600 crore</strong>, down from <strong>₹700-800 crore</strong> guided six months ago — a 20%+ cut driven by a product-mix rethink. More candidly, Garg reversed his earlier external finger-pointing and said internal 'mindset' issues before October 2023 were the real drag. Now the vision: <strong>₹300 crore</strong> for FY25, <strong>₹450 crore</strong> for FY26, and <strong>₹1,000 crore</strong> by FY29-30, with <strong>₹150 crore</strong> EBITDA. A nano-cap at <strong>₹109 crore</strong> market cap can get away with ambitious targets, but credibility rests on FY25. The company is also consolidating plants to save <strong>₹2.5 crore</strong> annually and targeting Fortune 500 audit-readiness by October. And for the record: no equity raise is coming, no loans; all capex from internal accruals. Honesty buys time. The downgrade stings, but the candid admission is a start.</p>
<p>Primary source: <a href="https://www.bseindia.com/corporates/ann.html?scrip=543874&dur=A">BSE</a> · <a href="https://www.nseindia.com/companies-listing/corporate-filings-announcements?symbol=MAIDEN">NSE</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
      <category>Concalls</category>
      <dc:creator>Tipsheet Editorial</dc:creator>
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